“We are under consideration and Iran will make the best decision with determination,” revolutionary security guard Sardar Esmeil Kouzli told local media in an interview closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
“When it comes to punishing the enemy, our hands were wide open and our military response was only part of our overall response,” added Kowolli, a member of Congress, in addition to his military status.
Iran’s short-range and medium-range missiles can attack surface missiles from the surface, whether attacking oil infrastructure platforms, strait pipelines, or even commercial vessels. Air strikes using aircraft and drones could disable navigation or radar equipment at major transport ports in the region.
Unmanned drones like the Iranian Sharp model can be used to attack certain maritime lanes or infrastructures in the Channel. Iran was able to attempt to deploy warships to physically block access to the strait. In 2012, Iran launched a cyberattack on Saudi Arabia’s oil industry, indicating its capacity in this domain.
The Strait of Hormuz is one of the most strategically important choke points in the world, and Iran’s blockade will pose serious risks to Europe.
Blocking the strait was one of four Iranian responses to conflicts, including terrorist acts in mainland Europe, cited by security expert Claude Monickett. Interview with Euronows.
It would be a “disaster for Europe,” the former French intelligence agency said.
Here are some of the reasons:
Threats to energy security
About 20% of the world’s oil and most of natural gas pass through the straits. Europe imports oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the UAE, Qatar’s Saudi Arabia and Gulf countries, many of which travel through the straits. If Iran blocks it, global oil prices will skyrocket, and Europe could face energy shortages, especially in fuel-dependent countries in the Middle East.
Economic shock
A sudden surge in oil prices increases inflation, energy costs and disrupts European industries. The manufacturing, transportation and agriculture sectors are particularly vulnerable. Market response and volatility on European stock exchanges can have knock-on effects.
Security and military escalation
The blockade could cause military conflicts involving the US, EU navy and Gulf states, putting wider regional wars at risk. Europe is particularly in countries where countries such as France and the UK maintain naval presence in the region, and can be drawn into conflict through NATO duties and alliances.
Disruption in delivery and trade
Beyond oil, the straits are an important route for shipping around the world. The disruption could slow down European imports of raw materials, electronics and consumer goods, and impact the supply chain. Shipping insurance premiums will skyrocket, increasing costs for European businesses and consumers.
